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Understand stock price as a forecast

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Mergers & Acquisitions

Divestitures

The market views divestment positively as an event, even though management usually avoids such decisions. However, divestment does not always create value and can sometimes result in negative […]

September 16, 2024 Intermediate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Stock vs Cash Acquisition

Mergers and acquisitions can be executed either with cash or by transferring the shares of the new company. What is the difference? When the acquisition is done with […]

September 16, 2024 Intermediate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Value Destructive Accretive Acquisition

Managers often justify mergers and acquisitions by claiming that the operation is accretive, meaning that EPS (earnings per share) increases, and therefore shareholders should be satisfied. However, the […]

September 16, 2024 Intermediate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Architypes for Value-Creating Acquisition

According to McKinsey’s research (1999-2013, 1770 transactions), the combined value of the acquiring and acquired organizations increased by an average of 5.8% as a result of acquisitions. In […]

September 16, 2024 Intermediate
Growth

Value Drivers

Understanding what creates value and how it is created is critically important. A good format to grasp this is through a value creation tree diagram: First, let’s start […]

September 13, 2024 Intermediate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Best Owner Thesis

“When a management team with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.” […]

September 13, 2024 Intermediate
Investor Psychology

Dr. Jekyll vs Mr. Hyde

Many investors believe they are Dr. Jekyll, but research confirms that Mr. Hyde lives within each of them. As researchers say, we humans struggle to assess the “beast” […]

September 13, 2024 Basic
Investor Psychology

The Principle of Price Anchoring

When viewed through the lens of human behavior, even a fundamental economic model like the principle of equilibrium in demand and supply curves comes into question… The issue […]

September 10, 2024
Investor Psychology

Decoy effect

We make decisions based on the principle of relativity and then consider them “rational.” This also happens when making investment decisions, especially when we use the multiples method […]

September 6, 2024 Basic
Behavioral Finance

Doing nothing

“Many want to be long-term investors, but as the graph shows, few succeed. As behaviorists say, the problem is fundamental for investors. Last week, I read this book: […]

September 3, 2024 Intermediate
Cross-Border Valuation

Currency Translation

Sometimes, the financial statements of a subsidiary are translated into the parent company’s currency before being presented, which complicates the evaluation of the subsidiary. In such cases, it’s […]

September 2, 2024 Intermediate
Cross-Border Valuation

Inflation Influence on Value

High inflation erodes the value of an organization because passing inflationary pressure onto customers is challenging and often not initiated – managers often do not realize the impact […]

September 2, 2024 Intermediate
Cross-Border Valuation

Cross-Border Forecasts

Subsidiary companies operating in another country use the local currency. Therefore, their evaluation requires special considerations. In this entry, I will discuss forecasting cash flows for a subsidiary […]

September 2, 2024 Intermediate
Other Valuation Methods

Capital Light Business & ROIC

Some business models inherently involve very small amounts of capital, making the use of ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) impractical for evaluation. When the scale of profit relative […]

September 2, 2024
Statement Reorganizations

Pensions & WACC

To assess an organization’s value, we need to accurately measure the beta. Since the beta statistic for an individual organization is not reliable, we perform an industry beta […]

September 2, 2024
ROIC

R&D Capitalization

According to financial legislation, intangible assets generated during the process of organic growth (including R&D) are not recorded on the balance sheet; instead, they are directly expensed, which […]

September 1, 2024 Intermediate
Statement Reorganizations

Operating Lease

In accordance with IFRS, almost every leasing contract exceeding one year is recognized as financial leasing. This implies that the contract’s capitalization should occur as assets and liabilities, […]

September 1, 2024 Intermediate
Statement Reorganizations

Pension Liabilities

In many countries, organizations offer employees pension and post-retirement medical benefits. Such obligations require special attention during the organization’s assessment process. For example, in the United States, companies […]

September 1, 2024