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Understand stock price as a forecast

“I constantly see people rise in life who are not the smartest, sometimes not even the most diligent, but they are learning machines” - Charlie Munger

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Growth

DuPont Analysis

Sure, here’s the translation: When making a price-sensitive purchase decision, it’s important to evaluate the financial performance of the organization. This careful scrutiny doesn’t replace market research but […]

December 21, 2024
Cross-Border Valuation

Cross-Border Valuation

Sure, here’s the translation in English: During project evaluations, a common error often occurs when incorrectly assessing the present value of selected capital, which is heavily dependent on […]

December 21, 2024 Basic
Mergers & Acquisitions

Mergers & Acquisitions

რა ხდება ფასიანი ქაღალდების ბაზარზე ერთი კომპანიის მიერ მეორეს შესყიდვისას ან თანაბარ-უფლებიანი შერწყმისას? ასეთი ოპერაციები ხშირდება ეკონომიკის აღამვლობის ფაზაში. ზოგჯერ სახელმწიოფო რეგულაციებიც ასტიმულირებს. მაგრამ, იმის გასაგებად თუ რა […]

December 21, 2024
Derivatives

Option Types

An American Option Differs from a European Option An American option can be exercised at any time before the expiration date, whereas with a European option, you must […]

December 21, 2024 Basic
Real Estate Development

Best Use and Option Analysis of Land Value

To determine the intrinsic value of development land, the Highest and Best Use Analysis technique is employed. Naturally, the intrinsic value of development land is derived from the […]

December 20, 2024 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

Risk & Return in Real Estate

Risk Description Example Business Risk Income varies with economic activity and market conditions. High vacancy rates during a recession reduce rental income for office buildings in downtown areas. […]

December 19, 2024
Real Estate Investments

Positive vs Negative Leverage in Real Estate

Based on the impact of leverage on the return on equity invested, the concepts of positive and negative leverage exist in the real estate sector. Three main parameters […]

December 18, 2024
Real Estate Investments

Property Value Sensitivity

In this post, I aim to demonstrate how sensitive the long-term value of real estate can be to short-term shocks. By “shocks,” I mean unplanned changes in both […]

December 16, 2024
Real Estate Investments

Fair Value of Income Properties

There are simple and professional methods for valuing an income-generating real estate asset. Simple methods primarily involve determining the market price with minor adjustments based on comparable asset […]

November 29, 2024
Growth

Growth & Competition

When evaluating the stability of growth periods, a key question is who bears the burden of a particular organization’s growth? What strengths do creditors have and can they […]

November 25, 2024
Market Efficiency

Expectations Cornerstone

Is it Worth Buying Apple Stock Today? I want to touch on the topic of expectations, or as it’s often called, the “expectations treadmill.” The graphs show historical […]

November 25, 2024 Basic
Market Efficiency

Investor Types & Market Behavior

Participants in the securities market can be divided into two groups: Smart investors conduct in-depth analysis of organizations and determine their intrinsic value, or more precisely, a range […]

November 25, 2024 Basic
ROIC

Stability of ROIC

What determines an organization’s value?Value = (Price – Cost) / Invested Capital Edward Mason’s Structure-Conduct-Performance model (which is based on Michael Porter’s frameworks) suggests that an organization’s created […]

November 25, 2024 Basic
Market Efficiency

Consensus Estimates Don’t Matter

Here’s another interesting nuance I came across in the work of McKinsey & Co. and their co-authors, which I want to share with you: Investment platforms for securities […]

November 25, 2024 Basic
Growth

GDP & Growth

the percentage of total market cap relative to the GNP is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” – Warren Buffett Is […]

November 25, 2024
Risk

Risk & Leverage

How Does Financing Structure Affect Risk? In essence, the financing structure does not impact the value of an organization. Value is created by the assets, and it doesn’t […]

November 25, 2024 Basic
Market Multiples

P/E – Multiple

Should Professionals Invest in Equities Based on P/E Ratios? Evaluating the Usefulness of P/E Ratios for Investment Decisions Many investors rely on the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio as a […]

November 25, 2024 Basic