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Understand stock price as a forecast

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Risk

Risk Premium

In the simplest terms, the risk premium is defined as the difference in annual returns between stocks and risk-free bonds. However, measuring it in practice is not an […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

Risk Aversion vs. Age

Research confirms that the price of capital risk is closely related to the age of investors. As investors age, their appetite for risk decreases. Consequently, the older the […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

Economic vs. Equity Risk

When examining the impact of macroeconomic factors on the price of equity risk, research sometimes yields contradictory results. For instance, a solid correlation between high inflation and market […]

May 13, 2024 Advanced
Risk

Transparency & Risk Premium

A study of 41 countries (Lau, Ng, and Zhang, 2011) shows that the price of equity risk is more stable in countries with high levels of transparency. Additionally, […]

May 13, 2024 Advanced
Risk

Catastrophe Risk

Does the investment market consider the consideration of catastrophic risk in Equity Risk Premium? While the likelihood of a macroeconomic catastrophe is not high, it still occurs periodically. […]

May 13, 2024
Market Efficiency

Illusion of Money

The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis is a significant model that describes the nonrational behavior of asset pricing and its impact on the Equity Risk Premium. According to the model, investors […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

Illusion of Risk

What does high-risk illusion and low resistance to good projects imply? #behavioralfinance The #NarrowFraming suggests that discussing investment decisions in isolation highlights the neglect of nonrational risks (Narrow […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

ERP Puzzle

In academic studies, the risk premium is usually estimated at 6-7%. However, what opinion should be expressed about the segmentation of time and calculation mechanisms, as many interpret […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

CFOs about ERP

From 2000 to 2017, a survey of 10,000 #CFOs was conducted regarding how they assess the risk premium of capital – that is, the difference between expected returns […]

May 13, 2024
Market Efficiency

The Small-Cap Premium

The small-cap premium (if such a thing exists) typically peaks in January… It’s unexpected, but still… Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation, and Implications – The 2022 Edition […]

May 13, 2024
Market Efficiency

The Globalization of Risk

Source:Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation, and Implications – The 2022 Edition Updated: March 23, 2022, Aswath Damodaran; Stern School of Business

May 13, 2024 Advanced
Market Efficiency

Country Factor

How should we consider the country factor when evaluating an investment project? The question addresses several important points: Diversification of risk is dependent on the specificity of the […]

May 13, 2024
Risk

Implied Equity Risk Premium

Implied Equity Risk Premium is a relative measure in finance that changes the investment philosophy and perspective… Instead of assessing capital risk with historical figures, it’s possible to […]

May 13, 2024
Derivatives

Euler’s Number

Nice video to see and recall Euler’s Number for math savvy investors: It is used to understand continuous compounding interest and in option valuations too (Black-Scholes Formula). 1. […]

May 12, 2024
Interest Rates

Interest Rate Factors

Factors Determining the Interest Rate on a Loan/Bond: i (j) = f (IP, RIR, DRPj, LRPj, SCPj, MPj) Where, Source: Financial Markets and Institutions – by A. Saunders, […]

May 12, 2024 Intermediate
Interest Rates

Price-Return Curve

To assess the impact of interest rate risk on bonds and other fixed income assets, measures such as Duration, Modified Duration, Dollar Duration, Effective Duration, Convexity, and Portfolio […]

May 12, 2024
Growth

Equilibrium

Interesting, that there should be an equilibrium condition among the three value fundamentals, – #g, #ROIC & #WACC. The chart would be more familiar for economists.to translate it: […]

May 12, 2024