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Risk

Sharpe Ratio

It is generally believed that an investment portfolio is better constructed the higher its Sharpe ratio (Sharpe Ratio – William F. Sharpe). The Sharpe ratio describes the relationship […]

April 26, 2025 Basic
Risk

Futures: Hedging or Speculation

In futures trading, both end-users of raw materials and traders participate.The first group aims to hedge their business margins, while the second seeks to profit from price fluctuations. […]

April 21, 2025
Valuation

Excess Real Estate in Valuation

The valuation of a business is influenced by how we treat the real estate component. This is especially relevant for capital-intensive businesses, where the Sales-to-Asset ratio tends to […]

April 12, 2025
Real Estate Investments

Hazard Function & Yield Degradation

Fixed-income assets come with default risk. For example, the default probability statistics for commercial mortgages by years since loan origination look like this: Source: Commercial Real Estate Analysis […]

April 5, 2025 Advanced
Market Efficiency

Estonian Model Impact on CF

We are setting up Executive KPIs in a company, and during the process, the task arose of calculating WACC and assessing its impact on the organization’s value. Typically, […]

March 25, 2025
Real Estate Investments

Loan Prepayment Option Valuation

For a real estate investor, it’s important to understand how valuable a loan refinancing option is, which can be assessed using the Black-Scholes financial options pricing model. For […]

March 24, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Black-Scholes-Merton Model

The Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) formula holds the same weight in financial science as E = mc² does in physics. The formula revolutionized the development of the options market. Thanks […]

March 21, 2025
Risk

Optimal Hedge Ratio

Hedging for Sales Support Organizations often need to enter into long-term sales contracts with fixed prices, even when some of their costs depend on market fluctuations. For example, […]

March 18, 2025
Real Estate Investments

After Tax Discount Rate in RE

How Do Government Co-Financing Incentives Influence Real Estate Purchase Decisions? How Do Such Incentives Affect the Value of Real Estate for Beneficiaries? In practice, determining the correct discount […]

March 17, 2025 Advanced
Risk

Logistic Regression

Every important decision boils down to a “yes” or “no” choice – should I buy, or not buy? Should I offer a payment plan, or not? Should I […]

March 9, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

Depreciation Tax Shield in Real Estate

When investing in real estate, significant attention is given to the tax savings derived from depreciation (Depreciation Tax Shield – DTS), and this benefit becomes even more valuable […]

March 3, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

Cash-on-Cash Leverage in Real Estate

Unlike regular corporations, the tax component is excluded here because REITs are not subject to corporate income tax. There is nothing special about this formula—it simply weights the […]

February 24, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

RE Leverage and Risk: A Mathematical Perspective

When discussing the risk-return diagram, the risk component is often perceived theoretically. In this note, I will mathematically demonstrate how financial leverage and risk are essentially the same […]

February 17, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

The Specifics of Real Estate Investing

Real estate investing differs from both securities market operations and corporate capital budgeting decisions—it is, in essence, a blend of the two. On one hand, investing in real […]

February 10, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

Implied Inter-Lease Discount Rate

The property is leased under a long-term contract, and for discounting cash flows, the lessee’s loan rate is used (which is logical). The same rate can be used […]

February 7, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

IRR Decomposition

Smart investors use IRR less frequently because it has many technical flaws, but the main issue is that IRR inherently assumes the reinvestment rate is the same as […]

February 5, 2025 Advanced
Real Estate Investments

Valuation of Long-term leases

Imagine you own a commercial real estate property that is leased under a 10-year fixed-rate contract. Once the contract expires, you will need to re-lease the property for […]

February 1, 2025 Advanced