Skip to content

EON Investment Insights

Understand stock price as a forecast

“I constantly see people rise in life who are not the smartest, sometimes not even the most diligent, but they are learning machines” - Charlie Munger

SourcesIdeasFrameworks

Knowledge library

Find the idea you need.

Search articles or combine Reader Level, Idea, Subtopic, and Source filters.

Clear Filters
339 articles Newest research first.
Derivatives

Geometric Brownian Motion of Stock Price

A common model for the price movement process of non-dividend-paying stocks is the Geometric Brownian Motion (Robert Brown (1773–1858) was a Scottish botanist). Initially, Brown observed that dust […]

November 2, 2025
Derivatives

Ito’s Lemma & Wiener Process

Without the discoveries of the Japanese mathematician Kiyoshi Itô (伊藤 清, 1915–2008), the Black–Scholes–Merton model — and therefore the modern derivatives market — could not exist. Before moving […]

October 31, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Wiener Process

If physicists use the Wiener process to describe the movement of molecules, for finance it is interesting because it helps us understand the price behavior of stocks and […]

October 26, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Markov Process

Why is uncertainty considered proportional to the square root of time (√t)? A Markov process (named after the Russian mathematician Andrey Markov (1856–1922)) is a special case of […]

October 25, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

How Randomness Shapes Markets

🎲 Have you ever noticed how life, business, and markets share one thing in common — uncertainty? Finance doesn’t ignore that; it embraces it.John Hull’s classic work on […]

October 18, 2025
Derivatives

Risk-Neutral vs Replication in Option Pricing

Using the Risk-Neutral Probability Method in Option Valuation is a bit counterintuitive. Why doesn’t the option price depend on the expected movement of the underlying stock — its […]

October 11, 2025
Derivatives

Valuation of Interest Rate Swaps

When an interest rate swap is contracted, its initial value is zero. However, after some time passes, its value may become positive or negative for one of the […]

October 5, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Extending SWAP Zero Curve

To value derivatives, traders rely on LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) as the risk-free interest rate. The problem is that these rates are only available for up to […]

October 4, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Expected Spot Price

How can we assess the market’s expectation about the future change in the price of an asset? For example, if today the spot price of one ton of […]

October 3, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Futures on Commodities

The Futures Price Formula for Commodities Requires Additional Ingredients Such commodities can be predominantly investment-oriented (e.g., gold, silver) or predominantly consumption-oriented (e.g., copper, oil). The latter requires taking […]

September 28, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Forward vs Futures Prices

Since forward pricing formulas are used to evaluate futures, the question arises: are futures and forwards priced the same? Theoretically, in the long run, it is said that […]

September 27, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

Valuing Forward Contracts

Before we move to valuing a forward contract, it’s important to understand the connection between the spot price of an asset and its forward price. Let’s start with […]

September 21, 2025 Advanced
Derivatives

📉 Short Selling vs. Regular Buying

💡 Most investors know how to make money when stocks rise… but did you know you can also profit when stocks fall? That’s called short selling (or “shorting”). […]

September 20, 2025 Advanced
Other Valuation Methods

Leveraged Buyouts (LBO)

The evaluation of a Leveraged Buyout (LBO) transaction is a rather complex process. Such transactions involve several key aspects: The stages of the evaluation methodology in practice are […]

September 13, 2025
Market Multiples

Valuation By Multiple

A common mistake is valuing a company by comparing its multiples with those of other companies in the industry in a superficial way. The issue is that selecting […]

September 7, 2025 Advanced
WACC, CoC, Structure

Convertible Bonds

How should WACC be calculated when the capital structure includes convertible bonds? The value of a convertible bond is split into two components: The value of the conversion […]

September 6, 2025 Advanced
DCF Valuation

NOL & Interest Carryforwards

📌 An organization’s accumulated loss is an asset from a tax savings perspective, and should therefore be considered in valuation. 📊 Such an asset is divided into two […]

August 31, 2025