{"id":1589,"date":"2024-08-23T18:49:50","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T14:49:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eoninvestment.com\/?p=1589"},"modified":"2026-04-15T21:12:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T17:12:28","slug":"terminal-value-weight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eoninvestment.com\/ka\/2024\/08\/23\/terminal-value-weight\/","title":{"rendered":"\u10f0\u10dd\u10e0\u10d8\u10d6\u10dd\u10dc\u10e2\u10e1 \u10db\u10d8\u10e6\u10db\u10d0 \u10e4\u10d0\u10e1\u10d4\u10e3\u10da\u10dd\u10d1\u10d8\u10e1 \u10ec\u10d8\u10da\u10d8<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Valuation Breakdown by Time Periods<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

When breaking down an organization\u2019s value into near-term and long-term components, the proportion of these two parts varies across different sectors. However, the weight of the value beyond the forecast horizon is significantly larger in any case (see photo).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First Forecast Period<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The initial forecast period should ideally span 10-15 years. A shorter period can lead to undervaluation, resulting in an overly pessimistic picture since competitive equilibrium is predicted too soon. Practically, the length of the forecast horizon should not inherently affect the organization’s value, but shorter periods increase the likelihood of erroneous estimates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

McKinsey suggests dividing the first forecast period into two stages:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. Detailed forecasts for up to 7 years.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Predicting only a few key parameters\u2014growth, capital-to-sales ratio, margin, ROIC\u2014beyond that.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Cyclical Companies<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

    For cyclical companies, longer-term forecasting is recommended. It is crucial not to use peak or recession figures for the horizon period; instead, an average should be taken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Source<\/strong>:
    VALUATION \u2013 Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies<\/em>
    7th Edition
    McKinsey & Company
    Tim Koller, Marc Goedhart, David Wessels<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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Eon Investment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/eoninvestment.com\/ka\/2024\/08\/23\/terminal-value-weight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ka_GE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Terminal Value Weight - Eon Investment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u10dd\u10e0\u10d2\u10d0\u10dc\u10d8\u10d6\u10d0\u10ea\u10d8\u10d8\u10e1 \u10e6\u10d8\u10e0\u10d4\u10d1\u10e3\u10da\u10d4\u10d1\u10d0 \u10e0\u10dd\u10db \u10d3\u10d0\u10d5\u10e7\u10dd\u10d7 \u10dd\u10e0 \u10dc\u10d0\u10ec\u10d8\u10da\u10d0\u10d3, \u10d0\u10ee\u10da\u10dd \u10de\u10d4\u10e0\u10d8\u10dd\u10d3\u10d8\u10e1 \u10d3\u10d0 \u10e8\u10d4\u10db\u10d3\u10d2\u10dd\u10db\u10d8 \u10de\u10d4\u10e0\u10d8\u10dd\u10d3\u10d8\u10e1 \u10e6\u10d8\u10e0\u10d4\u10d1\u10e3\u10da\u10d4\u10d1\u10d4\u10d1\u10d0\u10d3, \u10d0\u10e6\u10db\u10dd\u10e9\u10dc\u10d3\u10d4\u10d1\u10d0 \u10e0\u10dd\u10db \u10e1\u10ee\u10d5\u10d0\u10d3\u10d0\u10e1\u10ee\u10d5\u10d0 \u10e1\u10d4\u10e5\u10e2\u10dd\u10e0\u10e8\u10d8 \u10d0\u10db \u10dd\u10e0\u10d8 \u10dc\u10d0\u10ec\u10d8\u10da\u10d8\u10e1 \u10de\u10e0\u10dd\u10de\u10dd\u10e0\u10ea\u10d8\u10d0 \u10d2\u10d0\u10dc\u10e1\u10ee\u10d5\u10d0\u10d5\u10d4\u10d1\u10e3\u10da\u10d8\u10d0. \u10d0\u10db\u10d0\u10e1\u10d7\u10d0\u10dc \u10f0\u10dd\u10e0\u10d8\u10d6\u10dd\u10dc\u10e2\u10d8\u10e1 \u10e8\u10d4\u10db\u10d3\u10d2\u10dd\u10db\u10d8 \u10e6\u10d8\u10e0\u10d4\u10d1\u10e3\u10da\u10d4\u10d1\u10d8\u10e1 \u10ec\u10dd\u10dc\u10d0 \u10dc\u10d4\u10d1\u10d8\u10e1\u10db\u10d8\u10d4\u10e0 \u10e8\u10d4\u10db\u10d7\u10ee\u10d5\u10d4\u10d5\u10d0\u10e8\u10d8 \u10d1\u10d4\u10d5\u10e0\u10d0\u10d3 \u10e3\u10e4\u10e0\u10dd \u10d3\u10d8\u10d3\u10d8\u10d0 (\u10d8\u10ee [\u2026]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/eoninvestment.com\/ka\/2024\/08\/23\/terminal-value-weight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Eon Investment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/eoninvestment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-23T14:49:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-15T17:12:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/eoninvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/screenshot-2024-05-14-102254.png?fit=792%2C373&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"792\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"373\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"neoinsight\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"neoinsight\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 \u10ec\u10e3\u10d7\u10d8\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/ka\\\/wp-json\\\/wp\\\/v2\\\/posts\\\/1589\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/ka\\\/#website\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"neoinsight\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/ka\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/9bb6a82e15a5231535d10233395afa89\"},\"headline\":\"\u10f0\u10dd\u10e0\u10d8\u10d6\u10dd\u10dc\u10e2\u10e1 \u10db\u10d8\u10e6\u10db\u10d0 \u10e4\u10d0\u10e1\u10d4\u10e3\u10da\u10dd\u10d1\u10d8\u10e1 \u10ec\u10d8\u10da\u10d8\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-23T14:49:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-15T17:12:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/2024\\\/08\\\/23\\\/terminal-value-weight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":179,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/ka\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/2024\\\/08\\\/23\\\/terminal-value-weight\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/eoninvestment.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/screenshot-2024-05-14-102254.png?fit=792%2C373&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Valuation, Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies - 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